Xavier University Williams College of Business Business Statistics, Stat 500-84 Lectures: MW 6:00pm-9:15pm, HAI 4 Instructor: Amit Sen Office: 328 Smith Hall Email: sen@xavier.edu Webpage: http://site.xavier.edu/sen Office Phone: Fax: (513) 745-2931 (513) 745-3692 Office Hours: MTWR 5:00pm-6:00pm and by appointment Course Description This course is designed to familiarize you with some basic statistical techniques that are useful for analyzing data. The techniques and concepts developed in class willbe illustrated via numerous applications. We will use Excel as our statistical computation software for all illustrations and applications. We begin with a brief review of summary statistics and probability. We are primarily interested in the development of the simple and multiple linear regression models. Specific topics that will be covered within the context of these models include ordinary least squares estimation, confidenceinterval estimation, testinghypotheses regarding the regression parameters, prediction, and residuals analysis. We will highlight the problems of multicollinearity, autocorrelation, and heteroskedasticity within the linear regression framework. In addition, we will discuss inference regarding means, proportions, andvariances fromtwopopulations, and tests forgoodness-of-fit and independence. Required Text Anderson, D. R., Sweeney, D. J., and Williams, T. A., 2008, Statistics for Business and Economics, Tenth Edition, Thomson South-Western. WCB Mission Statement “We educate students of business, enabling them to improve organizations and society, consistent with the Jesuit tradition.” 1 Grading Policy The final grade willbe determined viaa mid-term exam,a final exam, andnumerous homework and in-class assignments. The homework and in-class assignments will collectively count for 25% of your final grade. Late homework assignments will not be accepted under any circumstances. The mid-term exam will count for 35% ofyour final grade, and the final exam will count for 40% of your final grade. Unexcused absences from exams will result in a grade of zero. Make-up exams will be offered only if pre-arranged with me or under extraordinary (verifiable) circumstances whereby alternative arrangements cannot be made in advance. A tentative schedule for the exams is highlighted in the ‘Reading Schedule’ section below. The final grade will be based on the following scale: A = 93% 93% > A-= 90% 90% > B+ = 87% 87% > B = 83% 83% > B-= 80% 80% > C+ = 77% 77% > C = 73% 73% > C-= 70% 70% > F I have listed the chapters of the assigned text that I intend to cover during the course of the semester, see the Reading Schedule section below. We will use certain problems and exercises from the text to illustrate the key concepts discussed in class. We will use the software package Excel to illustrate the application of the statistical concepts and techniques to specific numerical examples. I will discuss illustrative examples to familiarize you with the software that will helpyou to learn to read the output generatedbyExcel. We can then conduct statistical analysis based on the Excel output. Homework and in-class assignments based on Excel will be assigned during the course of the session. You will use the Excel software to analyze numerical data during exams. Ifyou contact me via email(sen@xavier.edu), kindly include your full name, and course & section number inall correspondence. Iwouldbehappyto see you inperson during the assigned office hours or by appointment. If you have difficulty or concerns with this course, you may contact Professor Mark Sena (213 Hailstones Building, Phone: (513) 7453296, email: sena@xavier.edu), Chair, Department of Management Information Systems, Williams College of Business. 2 Reading Schedule Day 1: July 7 Discuss Syllabus Chapter 1: Data and Statistics Chapter 3: Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures (Sections 3.1-3.4) Day 2: July 9 Chapter 2: Descriptive Statistics: Tabular and Graphical Presentations Chapter 6: Continuous Probability Distributions -Normal distribution (Section 6.2) Chapter 7: Sampling and Sampling Distributions Day 3: July 12 Chapter 3: Descriptive Statistics: Numerical Measures (Section 3.5) Chapter 14: Simple Linear Regression (Sections 14.1-14.4, 14.8) Day 4: July 14 Chapter 14: Simple Linear Regression (Section 14.6)) Chapter 8: Interval Estimation Day 5: July 19 Chapter 14: Simple Linear Regression (Section 14.5) Chapter 9: HypothesisTests Day 6: July 21 Review of Assignments and In-Class Exercises Mid-Term Exam 3 Day 7: July 26 Chapter 15: Multiple Regression (Sections 15.1-15.4, 15.6) Day 8: July 28 Chapter 15: Multiple Regression (Section 15.5, 15.8) Day 9: August 2 Chapter 15: Multiple Regression (Section 15.7, 15.9) Day 10: August 4 Chapter 16: Regression Analysis: Model Building Day 11: August 9 Chapter 10: Statistical Inference About Means and Proportions with TwoPopulations Chapter 11: Inferences About Populations Variances Chapter 12:Tests of Goodness of Fit and Independence Day 12: August 11 Review of Assignments and In-Class Exercises Final Exam 4